A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Gregor Stuart Hunter
We are now about halfway through the most action-packed part of
the week. The eye of the storm, if you will.
In case you have forgotten, today we are catching up on
corporate earnings, key economic data releases, several central
bank interest rate decisions, and all the latest twists and
turns in trade negotiations before new U.S. tariffs kick in on
Friday.
Hot off the presses: The yen appreciated 0.6%
immediately after the Bank of Japan kept rates on hold as widely
expected. Markets are focused on an upwards revision in
inflation forecasts, with Governor Ueda due to speak shortly as
traders anticipate rate hikes may be back on the agenda this
year.
With second-quarter earnings season halfway complete, Nasdaq
futures ripped 1.3% higher after blow-out earnings from
Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Meta Platforms ( META ). The U.S. dollar
held steady after hitting a two-month high, on track to tally
its first monthly gain all year.
"It has been a great earnings season so far, and that's the
primary reason why U.S. stocks continue to do well, but the full
brunt of the tariffs hasn't been felt," said David Chao, global
market strategist for Asia-Pacific at Invesco in Singapore.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan
fell 0.7%, though it was still on track for its
fourth consecutive monthly increase. Stocks in Hong Kong
led declines, down 1.1% after official PMI gauges showed
weaker-than-expected activity during July.
Copper futures plunged 19.4% after U.S. President
Donald Trump said the U.S. will impose a 50% tariff on copper.
The Korean won appreciated 0.1% after Trump said
the U.S. will charge a 15% tariff on imports from South Korea.
The Asian country will invest $350 billion in U.S. projects and
purchase $100 billion in U.S. energy products.
The announcement is the latest in a series of trade policy
deals rushed out before the August 1 deadline that Trump set for
trade deals before the U.S. imposes what he called Liberation
Day tariffs.
Trump also issued a blitz of tariff announcements ranging
from goods from Brazil to small-value shipments from overseas.
In early European trades, pan-region futures were
up 0.2%, German DAX futures were up 0.2% and FTSE
futures were up 0.1% ahead of another flurry of earnings
and inflation data.
Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:
* US earnings: Apple, Amazon.com, Mastercard
* European earnings: Shell, Unilever, British American
Tobacco,
London Stock Exchange Group
* German data: Import prices for June, unemployment for
July,
preliminary CPI and HICP for July
* French data: Preliminary CPI for July, producer prices for
June
* Eurozone data: Unemployment for June
Trying to keep up with the latest tariff news?
Our new daily news digest offers a rundown of the top
market-moving headlines impacting global trade. Sign up for
Tariff Watch here.