A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from
Ankur Banerjee
Another day, another bout of threats from "tariff man". This
time on pharmaceutical and semiconductor imports that investors
seem to have taken in stride for now, expecting the latest
measure to also be used as a negotiating tool.
U.S. President Donald Trump said sectoral tariffs on
pharmaceuticals and semiconductor chips would start at "25% or
higher, and it will go very substantially higher over the course
of a year." He intends to impose similar tariffs on autos as
soon as April 2.
Trump, the self-declared "tariff man," had been telegraphing
his intentions of imposing tariffs for months, so some of the
news may have been priced in. And while investors remain wary,
they are looking beyond the ebbing tariff worries.
That leaves the spotlight on European stocks' stunning start
to the year, with the pan-European STOXX 600 index
closing at record high on Tuesday, taking its 2025 gains to
nearly 10%. Futures point to a subdued open.
The rising chances of increased military spending in Europe
against a backdrop of peace talks to end the Russia-Ukraine
conflict have helped defence stocks this week and with no
resolution in sight, the defence sector may be set for its ninth
straight session of gains.
Earnings from top iron ore producer Rio Tinto will
be the main event in the corporate world during European hours
with investors keen to hear from Rio on how it will navigate
choppy waters in a world full of tariffs.
BHP, the world's largest listed miner, on Tuesday
flagged risks to global growth from potential trade tensions, as
it logged its lowest first-half profit in six years.
On the macro side, UK inflation data for January is due to
be out at 0700 GMT and will likely show a slight acceleration to
2.8% last month from 2.5% in December, according to a Reuters
poll.
That along with Tuesday's data showing the UK's accelerating
wage growth has underscored why the Bank of England has been
cautious about cutting interest rates despite a weak overall
economy, leaving sterling well supported near a
two-month peak.
The pound is up 1.8% in February and on course to snap a
three-month losing streak amid dollar weakness.
Key developments that could influence markets on Wednesday:
* UK PPI and CPI for January
* Earnings: HSBC, Glencore and Rio Tinto