financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
Morning Bid: Peace hopes pierce gloom, but safety trades dominate
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
Morning Bid: Peace hopes pierce gloom, but safety trades dominate
Feb 24, 2025 2:12 PM

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. 

World markets are at a delicate juncture as a string of unexpectedly soft economic indicators intensify U.S. growth concerns, just as rising global trade tensions and geopolitical uncertainty are already clouding the investment landscape.

Stocks are feeling the heat and the dollar is under pressure too, while safe-haven assets like Treasuries and gold - especially gold - are attracting strong demand. 

Investors on Monday initially welcomed Germany's election result and gave a thumbs up to the new government's 'pro-growth' policies, but the early bounce in Europe faded and Asian bourses were a sea of red.

Wall Street managed to erase some losses after U.S. President Donald Trump said G7 nations are united in their resolve to see an end to the Russia-Ukraine war, and that he and Russian President Vladimir Putin are in "serious discussions" about achieving that goal. 

But Trump later repeated his commitment to slapping tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico soon, and stocks stumbled again.

The Asian calendar on Tuesday includes an interest rate decision from the Bank of Korea, trade figures from Thailand and Hong Kong, and Taiwanese industrial production figures for January.

Economists expect the BOK to cut its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 2.75% on Tuesday, after unexpectedly standing pat last month as policymakers waited for domestic political turmoil to stabilize before easing further.

Economists polled by Reuters expect Tuesday's cut to be followed by a further 50 points of easing this year. Money markets are a little less dovish, pricing in only two full quarter point cuts this year.

Industrial production in Taiwan ended last year on a high, boosted by seasonal factors and perhaps firms accelerating production ahead of potential U.S. tariffs. The 20% year-on-year rise in December was the fastest growth in five years, and is unlikely to be repeated in January. 

The bigger issue for markets right now, however, is the deterioration in U.S. economic numbers. Having convinced themselves that the 'soft landing' was assured, investors are now entertaining the possibility that the economy may be in the early stages of rolling over. 

Citi's U.S. economic surprises index is now negative, and the lowest since the Fed kicked off its easing cycle with a 50-basis point cut last September. It has been mostly falling since the November presidential election.

Two more quarter-point cuts from the Fed this year are now fully priced into the U.S. rates futures curve, and options market activity may also be pointing in the same direction. S&P 500 option volumes hit an all-time high of 4.74 million contracts on Friday, according to CBOE, with demand for 'puts' rising.

Here are key developments that could provide more direction to Asian markets on Tuesday:

- South Korea interest rate decision

- Taiwan industrial production (January)

- BoE, Fed, ECB policymakers speak at BoE conference

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX come under pressure; Colombia data on tap
EMERGING MARKETS-Latam FX come under pressure; Colombia data on tap
Dec 6, 2024
* MSCI Latam FX index down 1.1%; stocks off 2% * EU, Mercosur sign free trade deal * Banco do Brasil slides on Citi downgrade * Colombia inflation data on tap * Chile's consumer prices up 0.2% in November (Updates to afternoon trading) By Pranav Kashyap and Johann M Cherian Dec 6 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies slipped on...
MORNING BID ASIA-China inflation eyed, global political uncertainty bubbling up
MORNING BID ASIA-China inflation eyed, global political uncertainty bubbling up
Dec 8, 2024
Dec 9 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. Attention turns to China on Monday and the release of November inflation data, with global investor sentiment broadly upbeat as the relentless rally on Wall Street continues but tempered by an increasingly volatile geopolitical backdrop. The toppling of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and the uncertainty that unleashes...
Morning Bid: China inflation eyed, global political uncertainty bubbling up
Morning Bid: China inflation eyed, global political uncertainty bubbling up
Dec 8, 2024
(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets.  Attention turns to China on Monday and the release of November inflation data, with global investor sentiment broadly upbeat as the relentless rally on Wall Street continues but tempered by an increasingly volatile geopolitical backdrop. The toppling of Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and the uncertainty that unleashes on an...
CANADA STOCKS-TSX extends weekly winning streak on jumbo rate cut prospects
CANADA STOCKS-TSX extends weekly winning streak on jumbo rate cut prospects
Dec 6, 2024
* TSX ends up 0.05% at 25,691.8 * Eclipses Thursday's record closing high * Technology adds 1.78% * Energy falls 2% (Updates at market close) By Fergal Smith Dec 6 (Reuters) - Canada's main stock index rose to a new record high on Friday, led by technology shares, as bond yields fell in anticipation of another outsized interest rate cut...
Copyright 2023-2026 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved