TOKYO, Aug 14 (Reuters) - Oil prices edged higher on
Thursday, regaining ground after a sell-off in the previous
session, with the upcoming meeting between U.S. President Donald
Trump and his Russian counterpart Vladimir Putin raising risk
premiums in the market.
Brent crude futures were up 28 cents, or 0.43%, at
$65.91 a barrel at 0057 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate
crude futures rose 23 cents, or 0.37%, to $62.89.
Both contracts hit their lowest in two months on Wednesday
after bearish supply guidance from the U.S. government and the
International Energy Agency (IEA).
Trump on Wednesday threatened "severe consequences" if
Putin does not agree to peace in Ukraine. Trump did not specify
what the consequences could be, but he has warned of economic
sanctions if the meeting in Alaska on Friday proves fruitless.
"The uncertainty of U.S.-Russia peace talks continues to add
a bullish risk premium given Russian oil buyers could face more
economic pressure," Rystad Energy said in a client note.
"How Ukraine-Russia crisis resolves and Russia flows change
could bring some unexpected surprises."
Another support for oil is that the expectation that the
U.S. Federal Reserve will cut rates in September is at close to
100% after U.S. inflation increased at a moderate pace in July.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said he thought an
aggressive half-point cut was possible given recent weak
employment numbers.
The market is putting the odds of a quarter-percentage point
cut at the Fed's September 16-17 meeting at 99.9%, according to
the CME FedWatch tool.
Lower borrowing rates would drive demand for oil. The dollar
was hovering near multi-week lows against the euro and sterling
on Thursday as traders ramped up bets for the Fed to resume
cutting interest rates next month.
Oil prices were kept in check as crude inventories in the
United States unexpectedly rose by 3 million barrels in the week
ended on August 8, according to the U.S. Energy Information
Administration on Wednesday, against expectations in a Reuters
poll for a 275,000-barrel draw.
Also, holding oil back was an International Energy Agency
forecast that 2025 and 2026 world oil supply would rise more
rapidly than expected, as the Organization of the Petroleum
Exporting Countries and its allies, together known as OPEC+,
increase output and production from outside the group grows.