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Benchmark prices ease 2.5% for the week
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Dollar on track for third consecutive week of gains
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Fed policymakers prepare ground for rate-cut pause in 2025
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Sinopec says China's crude imports may peak next year
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Trump warns EU on tariffs if bloc doesn't buy more US oil,
gas
By Arathy Somasekhar
HOUSTON, Dec 20 (Reuters) - Oil prices settled little
changed on Friday as markets weighed Chinese demand and interest
rate-cut expectations after data showed cooling U.S. inflation.
Brent crude futures closed up 6 cents, or 0.08%, at
$72.94 a barrel. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures
rose 8 cents, or 0.12%, at $69.46 per barrel.
Both benchmarks ended the week down about 2.5%.
The U.S. dollar retreated from a two-year high, but was
heading for a third consecutive week of gains, after data showed
cooling U.S. inflation two days after the Federal Reserve cut
interest rates but trimmed its outlook for rate cuts next year.
A weaker dollar makes oil cheaper for holders of other
currencies, while rate cuts could boost oil demand.
Inflation slowed in November, pushing Wall Street's main
indexes higher in volatile trading.
"The fears over the Fed abandoning support for the market
with its interest rate schemes have gone out the window," said
John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital in New York.
"There were concerns around the market about the demand
outlook, especially as it relates to China, and then if we were
going to lose the monetary support from the Fed, it was sort of
a one-two punch," Kilduff added.
Chinese state-owned refiner Sinopec said in its annual
energy outlook on Thursday that China's oil consumption would
peak by 2027, as demand for diesel and gasoline weakens.
OPEC+ needed supply discipline to perk up prices and soothe
jittery market nerves over continuous revisions of its demand
outlook, said Emril Jamil, senior research specialist at LSEG.
OPEC+, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries
and allied producers, recently cut its growth forecast for 2024
global oil demand for a fifth straight month.
JPMorgan sees the oil market moving from balance in 2024 to
a surplus of 1.2 million barrels per day in 2025, as the bank
forecasts non-OPEC+ supply increasing by 1.8 million barrels per
day in 2025 and OPEC output remaining at current levels.
U.S. President-elect Donald Trump said the European Union
may face tariffs if the bloc does not cut its growing deficit
with the U.S. by making large oil and gas trades with the
world's largest economy.
In a move that could pare supply, G7 countries are
considering ways to tighten the price cap on Russian oil, such
as with an outright ban or by lowering the price threshold,
Bloomberg reported on Thursday.
Russia has circumvented the $60 per barrel cap imposed in
2022 following the invasion of Ukraine through the use of its
"shadow fleet" of ships, which the EU and Britain have targeted
with further sanctions in recent days.
Money managers raised their net long U.S. crude futures and
options positions in the week to Dec. 17, the U.S. Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday.