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Gold breaches $3,600 for the first time
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A 90% chance of 25-bp rate cut in September - CME FedWatch
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China's central bank added gold for 10th straight month in
August
(Updates for U.S. morning hours)
By Sherin Elizabeth Varghese
Sept 8 (Reuters) - Gold surged past the $3,600 an ounce
level for the first time on Monday, hitting a fresh record high
as soft U.S. labor data reinforced expectations the Federal
Reserve will cut interest rates next week.
Spot gold rose 1.3% to $3,631.66 per ounce, as of
9:59 a.m. EDT (1349 GMT). Bullion hit a record high of
$3,636.69.
U.S. gold futures for December delivery were up 0.5%
to $3,670.80.
The yellow metal could extend its momentum toward
$3,700-$3,730 in the near-term, with any brief pullbacks likely
seen as buying opportunities, said Peter Grant, vice president
and senior metals strategist at Zaner Metals.
"Continued labor market softness and expectations of ongoing
Fed rate cuts into early 2026 could provide sustained support
for bullion."
Friday's jobs report showed U.S. employment growth slowed
sharply in August. Traders now see a 90% chance of a
quarter-point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting, with
around 10% chance of a larger 50-bps cut, according to the CME
FedWatch tool.
Lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding
non-yielding bullion.
Gold prices are up 38% so far this year, after gaining 27%
in 2024, bolstered by dollar softness, strong central bank
accumulation, dovish monetary settings, and heightened global
uncertainty.
China's central bank extended its gold-buying streak to a
10th straight month in August, official data showed on Sunday.
Benchmark 10-year U.S. Treasury yields, meanwhile, were near
their lowest in five months.
Investors are now awaiting U.S. producer price data on
Wednesday and consumer prices on Thursday for further clues on
the Fed's policy path.
"If weakness in U.S. data continues, then so too should the
ongoing bullish momentum in gold, as both the U.S. dollar and
yields fall further," said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at
City Index and FOREX.com.
Conversely "if the U.S. data shows surprise resilience in
the coming weeks, then that might cause gold to correct from
these elevated levels," Razaqzada added.
Elsewhere, spot silver rose 1% to $41.39 per ounce.
Platinum was up 0.7% to $1,382.25, and palladium
gained 2.1% to $1,134.56.