MOSCOW, Dec 23 (Reuters) - The Russian rouble
strengthened against the U.S. dollar on Monday as the central
bank's decision to keep its key interest rate on hold was
outweighed by other factors.
The rouble was up 1.3% at 101.70 against the dollar
by 0845 GMT, over-the-counter market data showed. The rouble
strengthened 0.8% to 13.85 against China's yuan in trading on
the Moscow Stock Exchange.
The Russian central bank kept its key interest rate on hold
at 21% on Dec. 20, surprising a market that had expected an
increase of two percentage points. The bank said that recent
tightening had created conditions for inflation to fall towards
its target.
"This came as a surprise and would have previously caused
the national currency to fall due to arbitrage. But with carry
trade impossible since 2022, other factors currently favour the
rouble," said analysts at brokerage BCS.
Analysts said the rouble was supported by the market's
gradual adjustment to new U.S. financial sanctions and by the
looming corporate tax payment period, ahead of which exporting
companies convert foreign currency into roubles.
The rouble fell as much as 15% against the dollar in
November after U.S. sanctions hit Russia's third-largest lender,
Gazprombank.
Some of the lost ground has been regained since then, with
the rouble stabilising above 100 to the dollar. That is now
viewed by the market as a new equilibrium level where the
currency could remain for some time provided there are no
further external shocks.
One-day rouble/dollar futures, which trade on the Moscow
Stock Exchange and are a guide for the over-the-counter exchange
rate, were down 1.3% at 103.43. The Russian central bank set an
official exchange rate at 102.34 to the dollar.