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Euro gains 0.3% against pound, most since December
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UK GDP growth stalls, impacting investor confidence
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Options traders bullish on euro against pound since
September
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Feb 13 (Reuters) - The pound headed for its
biggest weekly loss in over two months against the euro on
Friday after a turbulent week in British politics and in
financial markets, which have been gripped by worries about the
long-term impact of artificial intelligence.
The euro, which has flat-lined against the dollar this week,
is heading for a gain of 0.3% against the pound, the
most since early December. It was last down 0.12% at 87.05
pence. The pound was steady at $1.362, set for a flat
performance against the U.S. currency for the week.
The pound, UK bonds and stocks all suffered earlier in the
week when a political crisis sparked by the Epstein affair
seemed to threaten Prime Minister Keir Starmer's hold on power.
However, the selling pressure subsided after the cabinet
rallied behind Starmer and he pledged never to walk away from
his position.
In a further setback for investor confidence, UK gross
domestic product data on Thursday showed that the economy almost
ground to a halt in the final three months of 2025.
This did not shift market expectations that the Bank of
England will deliver no more than two rate cuts this year, given
policymakers' concern about persistent inflationary pressures.
"Q4 UK GDP disappointed, with the economy growing just 0.1%
quarter-on-quarter in the final three months of last year,
unchanged from the pace seen in Q3," Pepperstone senior research
strategist Michael Brown said.
"Not only is this meagre pace not worth celebrating at all -
despite some in Westminster popping the champagne post-release -
it must also be set in the context of an economy that has grown
at a quarterly clip over 0.5% in just 3 of the last 15 quarters,
but also one where risks to the outlook continue to tilt firmly
to the downside," he said.
Options traders this week have reached their most bullish
view on the euro against the pound since September.
Risk reversals, which reflect the difference between the
cost of an option to buy the euro against the pound and the cost
to sell it, reached a peak of 78.8 basis points on Tuesday, the
most since late September. The higher this number, the more
positive traders are towards the euro, and vice versa.
Three-month risk reversals for euro/sterling were last at 63
bps, up four bps in the last week, according to LSEG data.