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Sterling rises after upbeat UK GDP data
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Sterling rises after upbeat UK GDP data
May 26, 2025 8:27 AM

May 15 (Reuters) - The pound climbed against the U.S.

dollar on Thursday after data showed the British economy grew

faster than expected, further making the case for fewer interest

rate cuts from the Bank of England.

Sterling rose 0.2% to $1.327 against a sluggish

dollar as excitement faded over the U.S.-China trade deal

announced earlier this week.

Official figures showed the British economy expanded 0.7%

between January and March, up sharply from 0.1% growth in the

last three months of 2024, and beating the 0.6% growth forecast

by the BoE and a Reuters poll of economists.

In March alone, the economy unexpectedly expanded by 0.2%

from February, compared with the flat reading expected by

economists.

However, the global impact of U.S. President Donald Trump's

trade war and British businesses warning of a hit from an

increase in UK employment taxes that came into effect last month

could weigh on the outlook.

Speaking after the data, finance minister Rachel Reeves said

there were clearly economic headwinds approaching, while

emphasising the significance of the government's

recently-announced trade agreements with the United States and

India.

"While a UK-U.S. trade deal will see the U.S. lower tariffs

on some goods, the UK, as a highly open economy, will still

suffer from any global slowdown," said George Brown, senior

economist at Schroders.

Against the euro, sterling was flat at 84.27

pence after hitting a six-week high earlier this week.

After the BoE lowered rates by a quarter point last week,

traders have scaled back 2025 rate cut bets. Money markets have

priced in 44 basis points of easing by the BoE by December from

70 bps of easing expected a week ago.

A hawkish tilt in comments from BoE policymakers Catherine

Mann and Huw Pill this week also influenced those bets.

BoE policymaker Swati Dhingra is expected to deliver a

speech in Brussels at 1400 GMT. Dhingra has been the BoE's

Monetary Policy Committee member who has voted most often for

looser monetary policy since she joined in August 2022.

Focus will also be on a spate of U.S. data at 1230 GMT

including retail sales that could offer clues on U.S. Federal

Reserve's rate trajectory.

At a UK-EU summit next week, British Prime Minister Keir

Starmer is hoping to clinch a new defence agreement with the

bloc and improve post-Brexit trade ties.

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