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MidEast escalation pressures pound against safe-haven
dollar
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Data shows UK pay settlements at 2-year low in 3-months to
Aug
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BoE speeches, services and construction surveys eyed
By Medha Singh
Oct 2 (Reuters) - The British pound steadied on
Wednesday, a day after it fell sharply against the dollar as the
growing conflict in the Middle East spurred demand for safe
haven assets.
Sterling was last flat at $1.3286 after dropping
0.67% the previous day as investors flocked to the U.S.
currency. The pound was around 1% off a two-and-a-half year high
hit on Thursday.
The dollar was boosted on Tuesday as Iran fired
ballistic missiles on Israel, an assault that, along with
Israel's incursion into Lebanon, has sparked fears of a wider
conflict in the oil-producing Middle East.
Uncertainty over whether Iran's salvo marked an escalation,
rather than a temporary flare-up, kept investors on edge.
"The move lower in GBP ... can be mostly attributed to the
rising Middle East tensions and hawkish Powell remarks," said
Matthew Ryan, head of market strategy at global financial
services firm Ebury, referring also to Monday's speech by U.S.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell.
Euro/sterling was flat at 83.29 pence per euro,
while the pound firmed 0.6% against a weakening yen
to 191.80.
Beyond headlines on the Middle East, market participants
will look to U.S. jobs data on Friday, which could offer hints
on the health of the world's biggest economy and shape the Fed's
policy path.
In Britain, data showed pay settlements awarded by employers
held at their lowest in two years in the three months to August,
a reassuring sign for the Bank of England as it considers
whether to cut interest rates again.
The BoE, which began lowering its key borrowing rate in
August, is expected to cut rates more gradually compared with
European and U.S. peers as it battles sticky inflation, boosting
the pound this year.
Money markets are pricing in 36 basis points of rate cuts by
year-end, implying a 25 basis point move and a roughly 45%
chance of another.
Several BoE officials are scheduled to speak this week,
including Chief Economist Huw Pill on Friday, while service
sector and house building surveys are due on Thursday and Friday
respectively.
"Focus in the UK this week will be almost entirely on
communications from Bank of England officials. We suspect that
officials will strike a similar tone, warning against rapid
cuts, and validating our view for rate reductions on roughly a
quarterly basis," Ryan said.