ORLANDO, Florida, June 1 (Reuters) - Conflicting

headlines on the U.S.-Iran ceasefire dominated world markets on

Monday, with the big three U.S. stock indices eventually joining

several key global benchmarks in an AI-driven rally to new highs

after President Donald Trump said the two sides were still

talking.

In my column today, I look at the so-called "K-shaped" U.S.

economy. The personal saving rate has slumped to a historic low,

while corporate America and the asset-owning rich are enjoying

the fruits of the AI capex boom. Something has to give, right?

If you have more time to read, here are a few articles I

recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets

today.

1. Ceasefire very likely to end if Israeli attacks on

Lebanon persist, Iranian TV says

2. AI giant Anthropic confidentially files for U.S. IPO

as investors bet big on AI future

3. Nvidia launches new chip to bring AI directly to

personal computers

4. Factories face soaring costs as Iran war causes

supply shocks

5. INSIGHT-A bachelor's in rare earths? In China, there

are schools for that

Today's Key Market Moves

* STOCKS: MSCI World, MSCI Asia ex-Japan, MSCI EM index,

Wall Street's big three indexes, Japan's Nikkei all hit new

highs. South Korea +4%. Europe, UK fall.

* SECTORS/SHARES: Only two of the S&P 500's 11 sectors

rise - tech +2.5%, energy +1.9%. The rest fall, utilities

leading the way -3%. Dell, Oracle both +10%, Nvidia +6%, Micron

tops $1,000. Hewlett Packard +35% in after-hours trade following

results. Qualcomm -9%, Meta and Intel -5%.

* FX: Dollar up broadly, USD/JPY up towards 160.00. NZD,

SEK -1%, biggest G10 movers; ARS -1.5%, biggest EM decliner.

Bitcoin -3% to lowest since mid-April.

* BONDS: Treasury yields up as much as 3 bps.

* COMMODITIES/METALS: Oil spikes: Brent +5%, WTI +6%.

U.S. natgas -3%. Gold -1%.

Today's Talking Points

* IPO mAnIa

Wall Street's AI frenzy went up a notch on Monday. Nvidia

unveiled a new chip that puts AI capabilities directly into

laptops and desktops, and Anthropic said it has confidentially

filed for a U.S. market listing. OpenAI is preparing a similar

filing, and SpaceX is set to price its IPO later this month.

That's potentially up to $4 trillion of market cap valuation

at IPO in the coming weeks. Even though the value of shares

floated will be much lower, the questions still remain - will

the market be able to absorb these new issues, and is this a

sign that the market is at or near a frothy top?

* Everybody's talking about ISM

Figures on Monday showed that U.S. manufacturing activity is

growing at its fastest pace in four years, driven by AI capex.

This may be something of a surprise to the casual observer (not

the AI capex bit) - aren't tariffs, inflation, and record-low

consumer confidence meant to be a dead weight on the economy?

Maybe firms are front-loading orders ahead of a downturn,

and executives do say war, tariffs and price pressures are major

concerns. Still, factories are doing brisk business, to the

surprise of many economists, if the U.S. economic surprises

index is any guide.

* Leadership

Monday's session on Wall Street was remarkable. The big

three indexes - S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow - all hit new highs. Yet

only two of the 11 sectors on the S&P 500, the broadest measure

of the market, actually rose: tech +2.4% and energy +2%. The

other nine sectors all fell, some significantly - utilities

slumped 3% and consumer discretionaries fell 2.6%.

Narrow leadership in U.S. stocks is nothing new, but this is

pretty remarkable, especially considering some big tech names

like Meta, Intel and Qualcomm fell between 5% and 9%. Don't rule

out another tech-led rise on Tuesday, after Hewlett Packard

shares soared 35% after the bell on Monday.

What could move markets tomorrow?

* Developments in the Middle East

* Australia current account (Q1)

* South Korea inflation (May)

* Euro zone inflation (May, flash estimate)

* Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey speaks to House of

Lords, BoE rate-setter Megan Greene speaks at separate event

* U.S. 'JOLTS' job openings (April)

* U.S. Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak include

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari and Cleveland Fed

President Beth Hammack

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