ORLANDO, Florida, April 7 (Reuters) - Wall Street

recovered earlier losses to end mostly flat on Tuesday, as

traders awaited the deadline later in the evening that U.S.

President Donald Trump has given Iran to re-open the Strait of

Hormuz and get oil and gas supplies flowing again.

In my column today, I look at how the global energy shock

caused by the Iran war has turbocharged FX intervention risks

across Asia, where economies face a triple-whammy doom loop of

rising oil prices, rising inflation, and a weakening currency.

If you have more time to read, here are a few articles I

recommend to help you make sense of what happened in markets

today.

1. 'A whole civilisation will die tonight' says Trump as

Iran defies nearing deadline

2. It's time to end the world's delusions over the Iran

energy crisis: Russell

3. Deal, delay or strike? Investors on edge as Trump's

Iran deadline nears

4. From falling U.S. wealth to Indian factory closures,

oil shock raises global recession risk

5. Japan finance minister vows close G7 coordination as

market volatility persists

Today's Key Market Moves

* STOCKS: Asia mostly rises, a sea of red across Europe,

Wall Street little changed - Dow dips 0.2% but other main

indices all flat.

* SECTORS/SHARES: Seven sectors on the S&P 500 rise,

five fall. Communications services +1%, consumer staples -1.8%.

Paramount Skydance +11%, UnitedHealth +9%. Dutch-listed

Universal Music Group +11%.

* FX: Dollar index -0.3%. Aussie among biggest gainers,

+0.8% ahead of RBA decision; Korean won, Hungarian forint among

biggest EM FX gainers.

* BONDS: 10-year Japanese yield hits 2.43%, highest

since 1999. U.S. yields down 2-5 bps across the curve, 3-year

auction draws strong demand, especially from foreign investors.

* COMMODITIES/METALS: Oil mixed. WTI +0.5%, highest

close since 2022; Brent -0.5%. Gold +1%.

Today's Talking Points

* Trump's Iran deadline

Global markets are on edge as Trump's deadline for Iran

looms. Trump has given Iran until 8 p.m. ET (midnight GMT, 3.30

a.m. in Tehran) to end its blockade of Gulf oil. Iran has shown

no sign of agreeing, and the WSJ has reported that Iran has cut

off direct diplomacy with the U.S.

What if the deadline passes without Tehran bowing? Trump

said on social media that "a whole civilization will die

tonight, never to be brought back again," comments that former

U.S. State Department legal advisor Brian Finucane said "could

plausibly be interpreted as a threat to commit genocide" under

U.S. and international law. The world is watching and waiting.

* Inflating expectations

Wherever you look, U.S. price pressures are rising. A New

York Fed survey showed on Tuesday that one-year inflation

expectations jumped to 3.4% in March from 3.0%. Also on Tuesday,

the U.S. Energy Information Administration raised its 2026

average WTI oil forecast by 22% to $96/bbl, and gasoline outlook

by 10.6% to $3.70/gallon.

This comes as the prices paid indexes in both the services

and manufacturing ISM surveys hit their highest since 2022, and

a Dallas Fed paper this week found that a prolonged oil shock

could raise headline PCE inflation by up to 1.47 percentage

points this year. Have markets priced for these scenarios?

* Bill of music rights

Billionaire investor Bill Ackman's Pershing Square has

proposed a takeover of Universal Music Group in a $64 billion

deal that puts a 78% premium on the Dutch-American group behind

stars including Taylor Swift, Billie Eilish and Kendrick Lamar.

The question is why. Has he spotted a bargain? A deep value

play? Is it to get Universal a U.S. listing? Is he taking not

just a leaf but whole screeds out of Warren Buffett's playbook?

Whatever the motivations, analysts reckon he still has work to

do to seal the deal. A 78% premium may not be enough.

What could move markets tomorrow?

* Developments in the Middle East

* Energy market moves

* Social media posts from Trump

* Australia interest rate decision

* Japan trade, current account (February)

* India interest rate decision

* Germany industrial orders, manufacturing (February)

* Euro zone producer price inflation (February)

* Euro zone retail sales (February)

* U.S. Treasury sells $39 billion of 10-year notes at

auction

* U.S. Federal Reserve releases minutes from March 17-18

meeting

* U.S. Federal Reserve officials scheduled to speak include

San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly

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