financetom
World
financetom
/
World
/
MORNING BID ASIA-Inflation cools, TSMC offers AI weather vane
News World Market Environment Technology Personal Finance Politics Retail Business Economy Cryptocurrency Forex Stocks Market Commodities
MORNING BID ASIA-Inflation cools, TSMC offers AI weather vane
Oct 17, 2024 2:02 PM

Oct 17 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian

markets.

Markets across Asia should open on a firm footing on Thursday,

supported by a rebound on Wall Street and softer Treasury yields

the day before, and growing signs that global inflationary

pressures are broadly easing.

Asia's economic calendar on Thursday sees the release of the

latest international trade data from Japan and Singapore, and

Australian unemployment.

The main three U.S. indices all closed in the green on

Wednesday with banks and small caps leading the rise. Big Tech,

however, remains under pressure, which may intensify the

spotlight even more on TSMC's third quarter results on Thursday.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co ( TSM ), the main producer of

advanced chips used in artificial intelligence applications, is

expected to report a 40% leap in profit to T$298.2 billion

($9.27 billion) thanks to soaring demand.

The world's largest contract chipmaker, whose customers

include Apple, Nvidia and ASML, has benefited from the global

surge towards AI. A miss or weak guidance, however, could

trigger another wave of selling across Big Tech.

But assuming analysts' estimates are met or even exceeded,

the backdrop to Thursday's session in Asia looks favorable,

despite the dollar's tick higher. The VIX index of U.S. stock

market volatility dipped back below 20.0 on Wednesday and oil

fell for a fourth day in a row.

Falling oil prices are often a warning of weak global

economic activity and demand. A huge miss and surprising slump

in Japanese machinery orders on Wednesday will only have

strengthened those concerns.

But the disinflationary pull from oil's weakness cannot be

ignored, and if investors like one thing it's lower interest

rates. In that light, investors will have been encouraged by the

price signals from around the world over the last 24 hours.

Inflation in New Zealand was slightly weaker than expected,

inflation in Britain was much weaker than expected and sure to

cement UK rate cut expectations, while the Bank of Thailand

delivered a surprise rate cut.

With the European Central Bank widely expected to cut rates

on Thursday by 25 basis points for a second meeting, to 3.25%,

global financial conditions are loosening. Rates traders

currently expect the Fed, ECB and Bank of England each to cut

rates another 50 bps and the Bank of Canada to cut at least

another 75 bps by the end of the year.

That's a lot of easing, especially without a recession, at

least in the US. Indeed, if there is a US recession coming,

someone forgot to tell the corporate bond market, where spreads

are now the tightest in nearly 20 years.

This is usually where the first hints of recession are seen

as investors move to price the impending impact of rising

unemployment, slowing growth and consumer weakness on companies'

debt loads.

Here are key developments that could provide more direction

to markets on Thursday:

- Australia unemployment (September)

- Japan trade (September)

- Taiwan's TSMC earnings (Q3)

Comments
Welcome to financetom comments! Please keep conversations courteous and on-topic. To fosterproductive and respectful conversations, you may see comments from our Community Managers.
Sign up to post
Sort by
Show More Comments
Related Articles >
Japan's Nikkei skids 1% as yen intervention risks rise
Japan's Nikkei skids 1% as yen intervention risks rise
Jun 26, 2024
TOKYO, June 27 (Reuters) - Japan's Nikkei share average fell 1% on Thursday, giving up most of its gains from the previous session, as the yen's slide past the closely watched 160 per-dollar level put traders on high alert for intervention. The Nikkei had dropped 1.05% to 39,248.88 by 0145 GMT, retaining just 75 points of Tuesday's rally. Technology shares...
MORNING BID ASIA-Inflation scares and yen bears
MORNING BID ASIA-Inflation scares and yen bears
Jun 26, 2024
June 27 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. Inflation scares in Canada and Australia this week are a reminder that the global monetary easing cycle expected to broaden out and accelerate in the second half of the year is by no means certain. This is a potential headache for investors in Asian and emerging markets...
Asia stocks down, yen slump keeps markets on intervention alert
Asia stocks down, yen slump keeps markets on intervention alert
Jun 26, 2024
SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asian shares fell and bond yields spiked on nervousness about inflation on Thursday, while the yen's slide past 160-per-dollar had currency traders bracing for Japan to step in and steady it. The dollar made six-week highs on sterling and the kiwi and at 160.7 yen traded just shy of Thursday's 38-year peak. The jittery mood had frothy...
Morning Bid: Inflation scares and yen bears
Morning Bid: Inflation scares and yen bears
Jun 26, 2024
(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets. Inflation scares in Canada and Australia this week are a reminder that the global monetary easing cycle expected to broaden out and accelerate in the second half of the year is by no means certain. This is a potential headache for investors in Asian and emerging markets as the...
Copyright 2023-2025 - www.financetom.com All Rights Reserved