*
Promising pipeline of anticipated initial public offerings
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Large IPOs expected to dominate, appealing for liquidity
and
strong performance
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Tech companies may attract investors despite smaller size,
says
Goldman Sachs CFO
By Echo Wang, Tatiana Bautzer, Saeed Azhar
NEW YORK, Jan 10 (Reuters) - Investment bankers are
gearing up for a pickup in dealmaking activity in global equity
capital markets this year, buoyed by a promising pipeline of
anticipated initial public offerings of several high-profile
companies.
Liquefied natural gas producer Venture Global, privately held
medical supply giant Medline, and cybersecurity company
Sailpoint, backed by private equity firm Thoma Bravo, are
expected to headline a crowded line-up of stock market
flotations in the first half of 2025, according to people
familiar with the matter.
An increase in capital markets activity, driven by improving
economic confidence, is expected to be a major boon for several
of these private equity-backed companies.
Private equity firms have been struggling to sell or list
portfolio companies over the past two years due to high interest
rates and volatile stock markets that put a chill on
dealmaking.
"Many of the companies owned by private equity firms have
become sizeable," said Arnaud Blanchard, global co-head of
equity capital markets for Morgan Stanley. "Sponsors know it may
take a while to complete a full exit, so they are becoming
active now, early in the cycle."
Other buzzy names that could potentially go public in the U.S.
this year include the likes of Swedish payments firm Klarna,
artificial intelligence cloud platform CoreWeave, and financial
technology firm Chime, which confidentially submitted paperwork
for its flotation in December, the sources said.
The largest private equity firms have become more bullish about
IPOs of their portfolio companies in recent months.When major
U.S. banks report earnings next week, investors will focus on
the outlook for capital markets, which had a surge of activity
last year.
Global equity issuance rose 20% last year, but stock market
launches have so far lagged that increase, remaining far below
their 2021 peak. IPOs raised $123 billion last year, compared
with a record-breaking haul of $594 billion in 2021, according
to Dealogic.
Moreover, Wall Street's most-watched gauge of investor anxiety,
the Cboe Volatility Index, is currently 18, raising
expectations of a near-term upswing in capital markets.
LARGER DEALS
Bankers are expecting more large IPOs, which typically refer
to share sales worth $750 million and above, and are appealing
because they often feature established companies with strong
financial performance and offer greater liquidity to investors.
"IPOs, on average, are likely to be larger in size perhaps
than they ever have been," Brian Friedman, president of
Jefferies, told Reuters in an interview.
Bankers also expect the 2025 surge in IPOs to reach across
a broad swathe of sectors.
"Investors continue to favor scaled, profitable companies
with sensible balance sheets and durable cash flows, especially
as rates may be staying higher for longer," said Matt Warren,
Bank of America's head of Americas equity capital markets cash
origination.
While valuations have risen, many startups backed by private
equity firms are still falling short of their targeted returns,
said JPMorgan Chase president Daniel Pinto.
"A lot of the companies in the sponsor books, even with
these valuations, are not able to produce a good enough exit for
these investments," he said. "Private equity firms can unlock
value in several ways, including small stake sales in IPOs,
which can then be used for a strategic sale with a premium."
Tech companies may buck the trend, attracting demand from
investors even if they are smaller in size, Goldman Sachs Chief
Financial Officer Dennis Coleman said during the firm's
financial conference in December.
The Wall Street investment banking giant has a "substantial
tech pipeline" of IPOs and expects to see offerings for
fast-growing companies to rebound after strong performances from
recent small and mid-cap tech IPOs.