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Suncor beats Q3 results expectations, on track to exceed
2024
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production and refining guidance
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Company share price up 29% year-to-date
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CEO Kruger says culture change, efficiency gains key to
revival
By Nia Williams
Nov 13 (Reuters) - Suncor Energy's ( SU ) much
better-than-expected third-quarter results cement the revival of
Canada's second-largest oil producer, two years after its
previous CEO resigned following a string of worker fatalities
and operational mishaps.
The Calgary-based producer beat analysts' estimates for cash
flow, upstream production and refining throughput and hit its
C$8 billion ($5.72 billion) net debt target ahead of schedule,
triggering a move to return 100% of free cash flow to
shareholders.
Suncor also said it is on track to exceed its 2024
production and refining guidance, helped by record third-quarter
output from its oil sands upgraders in northern Alberta.
The latest results, reported late Tuesday, follow a steady
improvement in operations and safety since former Exxon Mobil
executive Rich Kruger took over as CEO in April 2023 and
underline Suncor's transformation from oil sands sector laggard
to outperformer.
"Today's Suncor is a new Suncor," Kruger told analysts on an
earnings call on Wednesday, attributing the success to
incremental gains in efficiency and a change in company culture.
"A year ago, 15 months ago, it was 'What the hell can you
guys do to get off your knees and back on your feet' and now
folks are asking how high can we take this."
Kruger said Suncor had focused on boosting production,
giving the example of the Firebag thermal oil sands plant, which
on paper has capacity to produce 215,000 barrels per day (bpd),
but in September reached 247,000 bpd.
The company's shares were last up 3.9% at C$55.22 on the
Toronto Stock Exchange and have climbed 29% year-to-date,
outstripping the performance of oil sands peers Canadian Natural
Resources ( CNQ ) and Cenovus Energy ( CVE ).
Suncor's performance has improved markedly since 2022 when
activist U.S. investment firm Elliott Management built a stake
in the firm to demand changes, following years of share price
underperformance and major operational issues at the Fort Hills
mine. Less than three months after Elliott took aim at Suncor,
former CEO Mark Little resigned following the death of a fifth
worker in three years.
The company embarked on an overhaul of operations that
included cutting 1,500 jobs and reducing oil sands mining
operating costs. Last month Elliott said it has nearly doubled
its investment, because it is convinced ongoing improvements
will yield a higher share price.
It typically takes much longer to turn a company around and
Kruger's achievements to date have been amazing, said Laura Lau,
chief investment officer of the Brompton Group, which holds
Suncor shares.
"I think Suncor can keep this up, because momentum breeds
momentum," she said.
Suncor had a great quarter, said Scotiabank analyst Jason
Bouvier, but warned it would be much harder to beat year-on-year
comparisons in 2025 and the company still has to deal with
end-of-life implications at its oldest oil sands assets in the
coming decade.
The company also faces a gloomier outlook for global oil
prices, which have been trending lower this year amid concerns
about demand.
($1 = 1.3985 Canadian dollars)