* HSBC ( HSBC ) and StanChart shares drop amid Iran conflict
* Middle East exposure significant for HSBC ( HSBC ) and StanChart
* Conflict may boost demand for services like finance,
forex
By Lawrence White and Selena Li
LONDON/HONG KONG, March 12 (Reuters) - Just days before
the U.S. and Israel launched strikes on Iran, HSBC's ( HSBC )
CEO Georges Elhedery said the Asia-Middle East corridor was
becoming "a defining axis of global growth".
This week, HSBC ( HSBC ) closed its Qatar branches while Standard
Chartered ( SCBFF ) evacuated its Dubai office and told staff
there to work from home, in a sign of how the conflict has
rattled their day-to-day activities and their ambitions.
The duo, which have both bet on the region's increasing
trade with Asia and other markets to fuel their growth, are two
of the global banks most exposed to the war with Iran, according
to Reuters analysis of company data and sector analysts.
While the share of their assets in the region is around
2%-3% of their global lending, that belies the strategic
importance of the growing financial hubs of Dubai, Riyadh and
Abu Dhabi to the trade-focused British banks.
HSBC ( HSBC ) shares dropped more than 6% on Thursday, bringing the
falls since the U.S. and Israel struck Iran on February 28 to
14%. StanChart shares are down about 11.4% against a 9.5% drop
in the wider STOXX Europe banks index over that period.
"Our network has proven to be adaptable and resilient,
allowing us to stay close to our clients, respond quickly to
their needs and continue enabling trade, capital, wealth and
investment flows across our markets," a spokesperson for
StanChart said of its Middle East exposure.
HSBC ( HSBC ) referred to a statement from Elhedery this week, which
said it remained confident in the region and its prospects.
Other international banks including JPMorgan ( JPM ) and
Citigroup ( C ) have been expanding in the Gulf too.
JPMorgan's ( JPM ) financial exposure in the UAE doubled to $5.7
billion between 2024 and 2025, regulatory filings show, although
that ranks the UAE as eighteenth in a list of the top 20 country
exposures for the bank outside of the United States.
Citigroup's ( C ) UAE exposure is bigger, at $17.3 billion at the end
of 2025, but has been growing more slowly. Citigroup ( C ) said on
Thursday it would temporarily close most of its UAE branches and
financial centres as a precautionary measure.
CHINA-MIDDLE EASTERN TRADE
StanChart, whose Middle East operations are based in Dubai, has
seen its UAE business grow from 3.7% to 5.7% of overall group
income in the last 5 years, an analysis of its statements shows,
and its share of assets hold steady at around 2.4%.
JPMorgan ( JPM ) analysts on Thursday forecast Middle Eastern exposure
for StanChart's revenue and profit before tax to be about 8% and
12%, respectively, and for HSBC ( HSBC ) at about 4%. They said both
banks were the most exposed among European lenders.
Business volumes between China and the Middle East rose 18%
in the last year, Manus Costello, StanChart's global head of
investor relations, told Reuters last month.
That means any risks to inter-regional trade as the conflict
shuts down airspace, hurts business confidence and stokes
geopolitical tensions, could have an outsized impact.
"We think the increased economic uncertainty could imply
some additional risks related to the Groups' trade finance and
credit costs," Kathy Chan, equity analyst at Morningstar said.
StanChart should be somewhat insulated from severe credit
losses in the region because 73% of its UAE exposure is to
government-related entities and banks, JPMorgan ( JPM ) analysts added.
Neither bank discloses its direct exposure to the Middle
East, but StanChart's UAE business and HSBC's ( HSBC ) Saudi Arabia-based
regional entity HSBC Bank Middle East can be used as proxies,
the analysts said.
The banks could also benefit from the disruption as it
drives demand for services including foreign exchange and cash
management, said Hargreaves Lansdown analyst Matt Britzman.