June 18 (Reuters) - A spate of political reforms and
economic cycles has elevated Argentinian dollar-denominated
sovereign bonds and Latin American corporate bonds to rank among
key "areas of interest," the chief investment officer of
emerging markets Americas at UBS Global Wealth
Management said.
"It is a mistake to overlook LatAm," Alejo Czerwonko told
the Reuters Global Markets Forum on Monday.
"Strategically, an allocation to LatAm assets in portfolios
is a must, not least as valuation across equities, some
fixed-income segments, and a number of currencies, are quite
depressed at the moment," Czerwonko said.
Emerging markets in Latin America have been rocked by major
policy shifts this year, leading to spikes in volatility and
sell-offs across various asset classes, which in turn have
created attractive entry points.
Argentinian sovereign bonds have rallied this year on hopes
of reforms by libertarian President Javier Milei and fiscal
tightening, as the country's Senate passed a bill key to his
plans, even renewing a currency swap loan agreement with China.
Czerwonko said he still sees "opportunity" in Argentinian
dollar-denominated sovereign bonds as he believes Argentina will
avoid a debt restructuring due to progress on fiscal
consolidation and reforms, along with rebuilding of foreign
exchange reserves by Milei's government.
"There is widespread recognition that addressing Argentina's
structural economic imbalances necessitates of short-term pain
for long-term gain," he said.
Additionally, Czerwonko sees a wide range of opportunities
in the Latin American corporate bond market as large
corporations navigate different phases of the economic cycle
with liquid balance sheets, comfortable debt maturity profiles,
low leverage and financing risks.
Mexico, in particular, "enjoys a number of secular tail
winds, so we are tracking (the) peso and Mexico rates very
closely," Czerwonko said, citing its proximity to the U.S.,
ample networks of free trade agreements and a young workforce.
"U.S. remittances are flowing in to Mexico at a record $60
billion annually, and this process of economic integration has
more room to run, in my view," he said.
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