(Updates yields, adds latest developments, expected government
data releases, fresh comment in paragraphs 2-3 and 6-12)
WASHINGTON, May 26 (Reuters) - Yields on U.S. government
bonds fell Tuesday, as hopes for a breakthrough deal to reopen
the Strait of Hormuz had investors relaxing a bit about the
inflation outlook, ahead of a busy day of debt auctions
headlined by a two-year sale.
U.S. President Donald Trump on Monday had signaled
negotiations to end the conflict with Iran were proceeding
"nicely." However, Tehran later accused the United States of a
"gross violation" of the current ceasefire after U.S. forces
conducted what Washington called defensive strikes in southern
Iran.
"Markets seem to think that a deal is close at hand. As long
as there's optimism around a deal, that's creating a stronger
backdrop," said Gennadiy Goldberg, head of U.S. rates strategy
at TD Securities. "It's potentially premature. We've seen a lot
of twists and turns."
U.S. and Iranian negotiators are in Doha to discuss a potential
end to the three-month war that has choked off the Middle East
from the global oil market, lifting fuel costs and inflation and
inflation expectations around the world. U.S. Secretary of State
Marco Rubio said Tuesday that reaching an agreement could take
"a couple of days."
Global bond markets had rallied on Monday, when the U.S. market
was closed for Memorial Day.
A two-year Treasury auction and sales of shorter-dated bills are
due later in the day. From Thursday to Friday, the United States
is also due to publish data on first-quarter economic growth, as
well as April data on inflation, durable goods orders and the
U.S. trade balance.
Markets were also eyeing Tuesday's release of May consumer
confidence data but were largely unmoved after March gains in
the S&P CaseShiller index fell short of expectations.
The yield on the benchmark U.S. 10-year Treasury note
was last down 8.7 basis points to 4.485%, its
lowest level in nearly two weeks. The yield on the 30-year bond
fell 6.9 basis points to 5.013%.
A closely watched part of the U.S. Treasury yield curve
measuring the gap between yields on two- and 10-year Treasury
notes, seen as an indicator of economic
expectations, was at a positive 43.0 basis points.
The two-year U.S. Treasury yield, which
typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the
Fed, fell 7.6 basis points to 4.051%.
The breakeven rate on five-year U.S. Treasury
Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) was last at
2.514% after closing at 2.538% on May 22.
The 10-year TIPS breakeven rate was last at
2.389%, indicating the market sees inflation averaging about
2.4% a year for the next decade.