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Indexes up: Dow 0.01%, S&P 500 0.72%, Nasdaq up 1.49%
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Deutsche Bank sees S&P 500 rising to 8,000 by 2026 end
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Bristol Myers gains after rivals positive late-stage data
(Updates with opening prices)
By Johann M Cherian and Pranav Kashyap
Nov 24 (Reuters) - The S&P 500 and the Nasdaq rose on
Monday, led by mega-cap stocks, as growing bets on a Federal
Reserve rate cut in December fueled gains and investors hunted
fresh data for clues on the central bank's next move.
Dovish remarks from influential New York Fed President John
Williams offered some respite on the policy front last week but
was also a reflection on how divided policymakers were ahead of
December's FOMC meeting.
Investors are pricing in a nearly 80% chance the central
bank will deliver a 25-basis-point interest rate cut next month,
compared with 42% a week earlier, according to CME Group's
FedWatch Tool.
"The dominant theme for now remains uncertainty. We're going
to remain in a choppy market up until December 10 when we get
the Fed's decision and the commentary that goes around it," said
Lilian Chovin, head of asset allocation at Coutts.
Mega-cap stocks were in the lead, with Alphabet up
5.7% and Tesla gaining 4.4%. Four of the 11 S&P 500
sub-sectors were higher.
At 09:44 a.m. ET, the Dow Jones Industrial Average
rose 6.02 points, or 0.01%, to 46,251.43, the S&P 500
gained 47.79 points, or 0.72%, to 6,650.78 and the Nasdaq
Composite gained 332.20 points, or 1.49%, to 22,605.29.
CONSUMER RESILIENCE IN SPOTLIGHT AS HOLIDAY SEASON KICKS OFF
September retail sales and producer prices data are expected
this week, ahead of the holiday shopping season that starts with
the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, extending into Black
Friday and Cyber Monday.
"We're going to look at spending at different levels of
wealth to see whether different types of consumers are holding
off better than others," Chovin said.
Spending trends are coming under sharper scrutiny as a
flurry of layoff announcements, rising unemployment data and
U.S. tariffs cloud consumer sentiment. Even so, the National
Retail Federation expects holiday sales to top $1 trillion for
the first time.
Earnings from consumer-oriented companies such as Best Buy ( BBY )
are expected later this week.
TECH VALUATION WORRIES PERSIST
Despite AI-bellwether Nvidia's ( NVDA ) strong forecast last
week, ballooning valuations of the tech sector has plagued
markets for much of this month.
Stocks hit a volatile patch this month as investors worried
the AI boom may be morphing into a bubble, while a prolonged
U.S. government shutdown starved Wall Street of data it relies
on to gauge the health of the world's largest economy.
The S&P 500 and Nasdaq were headed for monthly losses in
November, and were on track for their steepest declines since
fears of a tariff hike sparked a selloff in March.
Deutsche Bank lifted some of the gloom, projecting the S&P
500 would surge to 8,000 by the end of 2026, citing
resilient corporate earnings and AI-driven gains - the most
bullish call among major global brokerages.
Meanwhile, Bristol-Myers gained 3.8% after European
rival Bayer unveiled positive late-stage data for its
cardiovascular drug.
Some U.S. health insurers and hospital operators gained
after a report said Trump's health plan could see subsidy
extensions for two years.
Centene ( CNC ) rose 6.8%, while Oscar health
surged 19%.
Declining issues outnumbered advancers by a 1.01-to-1 ratio
on the NYSE, while advancing issues outnumbered decliners by a
1.48-to-1 ratio on the Nasdaq.
The S&P 500 posted 12 new 52-week highs and one new low,
while the Nasdaq Composite recorded 53 new highs and 43 new
lows.