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Futures: Dow off 0.02%, S&P 500 up 0.26%, Nasdaq up 0.47%
Nov 24 (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures were mixed
in choppy trading on Monday, as investors weighed the likelihood
of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve and
scoured for data to get more clarity on the central bank's
monetary policy trajectory.
Stocks hit a volatile patch this month as investors worried
the AI boom might have turned into a potential bubble, while the
prolonged U.S. government shutdown had left them with little
economic data to gauge the health of the world's largest
economy.
Dovish remarks from influential New York Fed President John
Williams offered some respite on the policy front last week but
was also a reflection on how divided policymakers were ahead of
December's FOMC meeting.
Investors are pricing in a 75% chance the central bank will
deliver a 25-basis-point interest rate cut next month, compared
with 42% a week earlier, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool.
At 05:46 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were down 7 points,
or 0.02%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 17 points, or 0.26%,
and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 115.25 points, or 0.47%.
CONSUMER RESILIENCE IN SPOTLIGHT AS HOLIDAY SEASON KICKS OFF
The focus this week will be on the health of the American
consumer.
Retail sales and producer prices data for September is
expected through the week ahead of the holiday shopping season
that starts with the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, extending
into Black Friday and Cyber Monday.
Consumption patterns, the backbone of the American economy,
will be scrutinized at a time when multiple companies announced
layoffs, delayed official data pointed to rising unemployment
and U.S. tariffs weighed on sentiment.
The National Retail Federal said it expected U.S. holiday
sales to surpass $1 trillion for the first time. Last week,
Walmart, the United States' largest retail chain, raised its
annual forecasts in a signal of confidence heading into the end
of the year. Shares of Walmart were up 0.2% in premarket
trading.
Earnings from consumer-oriented companies including Dick's
Sporting Goods, Best Buy ( BBY ), Abercrombie
and Kohl's are expected later this week.
TECH VALUATION WORRIES PERSIST
Despite AI-bellwether Nvidia's ( NVDA ) strong forecast last
week, ballooning valuations of the tech sector has plagued
markets for much of this month. Adding to the gloom, popular
investors also trimmed their stakes in the sector, while others
have taken bearish positions.
Wall Street's main indexes are now on track for monthly
declines in November, with the benchmark S&P 500 and the
tech-heavy Nasdaq set for their biggest monthly losses
since expectations for U.S. tariff hikes sparked a selloff in
March.
Among other movers, Bristol-Myers gained 3.8% after
European rival Bayer unveiled positive late-stage
data for its cardiovascular drug.
Cipher Mining ( CIFR ) and CleanSpark ( CLSK ) gained 4%
each after J.P.Morgan turned bullish on the crypto miners.
In geopolitics, markets also monitored developments around
plans to end Russia's war in Ukraine.