*
Futures up: Dow 0.31%, S&P 500 0.67%, Nasdaq up 1%
*
Deutsche Bank sees S&P 500 rising to 8,000 by 2026 end
*
Bristol Myers gains after rivals positive late-stage data
(Updates to before markets open)
By Johann M Cherian and Pranav Kashyap
Nov 24 (Reuters) - Wall Street's main indexes were set
to open higher on Monday, buoyed by expectations of an imminent
Federal Reserve rate cut in December, while investors were also
combing for fresh data to gauge the central bank's next move.
Stocks hit a volatile patch this month as investors worried
the AI boom may be morphing into a bubble, while a prolonged
U.S. government shutdown starved Wall Street of the economic
data it relies on to gauge the health of the world's largest
economy.
Dovish remarks from influential New York Fed President John
Williams offered some respite on the policy front last week but
was also a reflection on how divided policymakers were ahead of
December's FOMC meeting.
Investors are pricing in a 77.9% chance the central bank
will deliver a 25-basis-point interest rate cut next month,
compared with 42% a week earlier, according to CME Group's
FedWatch Tool.
"The dominant theme for now remains uncertainty. We're going
to remain in a choppy market up until December 10 when we get
the Fed's decision and the commentary that goes around it," said
Lilian Chovin, head of asset allocation at Coutts.
At 08:25 a.m. ET, Dow E-minis were up 145 points, or
0.31%, S&P 500 E-minis were up 43.25 points, or 0.67%,
and Nasdaq 100 E-minis were up 242 points, or 1%.
CONSUMER RESILIENCE IN SPOTLIGHT AS HOLIDAY SEASON KICKS OFF
September retail sales and producer prices data are expected
this week, ahead of the holiday shopping season that starts with
the Thanksgiving holiday on Thursday, extending into Black
Friday and Cyber Monday.
Consumption patterns, the backbone of the American economy,
will be scrutinized at a time when multiple companies announced
layoffs, data pointed to rising unemployment and U.S. tariffs
weighed on sentiment.
"We're going to look at spending at different levels of
wealth to see whether different types of consumers are holding
off better than others," Chovin said.
The National Retail Federal said it expected U.S. holiday
sales to surpass $1 trillion for the first time. Last week,
Walmart, the United States' largest retail chain, raised its
annual forecasts. Shares of Walmart were up 0.2% in
premarket trading.
Earnings from consumer-oriented companies including Dick's
Sporting Goods and Best Buy ( BBY ) are expected later
this week.
TECH VALUATION WORRIES PERSIST
Despite AI-bellwether Nvidia's ( NVDA ) strong forecast last
week, ballooning valuations of the tech sector has plagued
markets for much of this month.
Wall Street's main indexes are headed for monthly losses in
November, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq on track
for their steepest declines since fears of a tariff hike sparked
a selloff in March.
Deutsche Bank lifted some of the gloom, projecting the S&P
500 would surge to 8,000 by the end of 2026, citing
resilient corporate earnings and AI-driven gains - the most
bullish call among major global brokerages.
Meanwhile, Bristol-Myers gained 4.2% after European
rival Bayer unveiled positive late-stage data for its
cardiovascular drug.
Some U.S. health insurers and hospital operators gained
after a report said Trump's health plan could see subsidy
extensions for two years.
Centene ( CNC ) surged 9.7%, Oscar health rose
22.8% and Unitedhealth ( UNH ) gained 2.7%.