WARSAW, Nov 15 (Reuters) - Central Europe's currencies
were a touch stronger on Friday with investors repositioning
after the dollar strengthened in reaction to Donald Trump's
victory in last week's U.S. presidential election.
Emerging market currencies have been under pressure since
the election as the dollar strengthened on expectations that
Trump's tariff and immigration policies could push up inflation,
limiting the scope for U.S. interest rate cuts.
Tariffs could also be a blow to central Europe's more
export-dependent economies.
"In our view, the markets are still repositioning after the
U.S. election, when the market was generally short in these two
CEE currencies (zloty and forint) in particular. But at the same
time we see a lag behind EUR/USD sliding lower," ING said in a
note.
"The rates market is pricing in new rate cuts but the rate
differential is not changing much given the move in core rates.
We therefore remain bearish on the CEE region here."
The Hungarian forint was up 0.2% at 405.50 per
euro at 0932 GMT, while Poland's zloty rose 0.14% to
4.3180.
Analysts said investors would be watching Friday's retail
sales and industrial output data from the U.S. which may
influence the dollar later in the day.
"The zloty is strengthening and will again attempt to go
down to the level of 4.31 (per euro)," Bank Millennium analysts
wrote in a note.
Markets did not react to Polish CPI data published on
Friday, which showed annual headline inflation at 5.0% in
October, in line with a flash reading.
The Czech crown edged up 0.14% to 25.2640 to the
euro.
Some Czech central bank board members viewed a weaker crown
exchange rate outlook as an inflationary risk, with
vice-Governor Eva Zamrazilova calling it a reason to put the
bank's rate-cutting process on hold, minutes from the last
policy meeting showed on Friday.
CEE SNAPSHOT AT
MARKETS 1032
CET
CURRENCIES
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
trade close change in 2024
Czech 0
Hungary 00
Polish Romania Serbian 00
Note: calculated from 1800 CET
daily
change
Latest Previo Daily Change
us
close change in 2024
Prague 1674.00 1669.2 +0.29% +18.39
000 %
Budapes 77878.58 77766. +0.14% +28.47
t 32 %
Warsaw 3
Buchare 17630.98 17674. -0.24% +14.70
st 07 %
Spread Daily
vs Bund change
in
Czech spread
Republi
c
0
0
Poland
0
0
0
FORWARD RATE
AGREEMENTS
3x6 6x9 9x12 3M
interba
nk
Czech Hungary Poland Note: are for ask prices
FRA
quotes
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