* MSCI Latin American stocks down 0.4%, FX up 0.2%
* Mexico's central bank hold rates at 6.50%
* Brazil's finance minister says bringing rates down a
challenge
(Updates to afternoon trading levels)
By Utkarsh Hathi and Avinash P
August 6 (Reuters) - Most Latin American currencies gained
on Thursday, as growing optimism over the resumption of energy
supplies from the Middle East and firmer commodity prices lifted
sentiment, while the Mexican central bank held rates steady as
expected.
Iran and Oman reached an understanding on Wednesday on
coordinates for a shipping route through the Strait of Hormuz,
though talks were ongoing.
Oil prices rose as caution lingered about the talks' outcome
and whether they will lead to the restoration of crude supplies
through the waterway.
"What happens geopolitically, including developments around
Iran and the Strait of Hormuz, matters a lot. Higher commodity
prices support exports, trade balances and currencies," said
Fernando Ferreira, chief strategist at XP Inc.
"But if oil prices stay high, that could impact inflation
expectations, result in higher interest rates and slower
growth."
The U.S. dollar index gained 2.9% on Thursday, ahead
of jobs data due on Friday, as markets shifted focus to economic
data in the absence of any forward guidance from the Federal
Reserve.
MSCI's index tracking Latin American equities
declined 0.4% and was headed for a fifth
straight session of losses, while the currency equivalent
edged 0.2% higher.
Assets in the region's second-largest economy, Mexico, were
little changed after the central bank left its key interest rate
unchanged at 6.50%.
The peso and equities traded range-bound.
Analysts at ING expect the Mexican peso to remain stable in
the absence of any further Fed rate hikes, though they warned
that any trouble in Mexican trade negotiations with the U.S.
could pressure the currency.
In Brazil, Finance Minister Dario Durigan said bringing
interest rates down remains a "big challenge," a day after the
central bank delivered a fourth straight 25-basis-point rate cut
and left the door open for more cuts.
The Brazilian real appreciated 0.4%, while the
country's stocks declined 0.9%, weighed by a 1.4% fall
in miner Vale .
Investors are also keeping close watch on Brazil's
presidential election campaign ahead of the October vote.
"Brazil's high carry remains attractive, but investors will
have to be attentive to political news in the run-up to the
presidential elections in early October," said Chris Turner,
global head of markets at ING, referring to the high interest
rate on real-denominated assets.
Mining and oil company executives in Colombia said the
industry is ready to invest billions of dollars in new
exploration, but expect quick action from the incoming
government to remove regulatory obstacles.
Colombian equities rose 0.7%, led by a 5.4%
advance in energy company Ecopetrol, while
Colombia's currency edged 0.8% higher.
The Chilean benchmark gained 1.3%, tracking higher
copper prices.
Analysts slashed their 2026 economic growth forecast for
Argentina while also lowering inflation expectations, a central
bank survey showed.
The local peso and stocks in Buenos Aires
declined 0.2% and 0.7%, respectively.
Key Latin American stock indexes and currencies
Latin American market
prices from Reuters
Equities Latest Daily %
change
MSCI Emerging Markets 1658.75 -1.68
MSCI LatAm 3070.44 -0.44
Brazil Bovespa 176145.28 -0.89
Mexico IPC 66472.34 -0.08
Chile IPSA 11305.43 1.32
Argentina Merval 3134099.9 -0.704
3
Colombia COLCAP 2362.06 0.74
Currencies Latest Daily %
change
Brazil real 5.101 0.38
Mexico peso 17.2019 0.05
Chile peso 913.39 -0.04
Colombia peso 3149.5 0.83
Peru sol 3.3777 0.22
Argentina peso (interbank) 1499.5 -0.20
Argentina peso (parallel) 1510 1.99