(Updates for European morning trading)
By Samuel Indyk and Yoruk Bahceli
LONDON, Sept 23 (Reuters) - Euro zone bond yields were
little changed on Tuesday after the release of mixed business
activity data from the bloc and heavy government bond issuance.
The HCOB Flash Eurozone Composite Purchasing Managers' Index,
compiled by S&P Global, edged up to 51.2 in September from 51.0
in August, the ninth consecutive month of growth. A reading
above 50 indicates expansion while below signals contraction.
But an index measuring composite new business dipped to the
breakeven point of 50 from 50.3, potentially raising concerns
about the sustainability of the bloc's growth.
EXPECTATIONS FOR ECB REMAIN STEADY
"September's flash PMIs suggest that the euro zone economy
grew fairly slowly again in Q3 and that price pressures eased,"
said Jack Allen-Reynolds, deputy chief euro zone economist at
Capital Economics.
Germany's 10-year yield, the euro zone
benchmark, was little changed after the data at 2.745%, just
below a two-week high of 2.762% reached on Monday.
Market expectations for European Central Bank easing
remained steady after the data, keeping shorter-end yields
little changed.
Futures markets are pricing in about 12 basis points of
easing by June next year, implying a less than 50% chance of
another rate cut.
The central bank last cut the deposit rate in June, lowering
it to 2%, before holding interest rates steady at the last two
policy meetings.
"Markets are not fully pricing any ECB action going forward
but there's always the threat in the air that they might be
forced to lower the deposit rate again," said René Albrecht, an
analyst at DZ Bank.
POWELL DUE TO SPEAK LATER
Investors were also hoping for some clarity from the Federal
Reserve on Tuesday after it resumed its rate cutting cycle last
week but provided mixed communication on the future path for
interest rates.
New Fed governor Stephen Miran outlined his reasons for wanting
lower rates on Monday, a view that was countered by three
colleagues who feel the central bank needs to remain cautious
because of inflation.
Fed chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak on the
economic outlook later on Tuesday.
Germany's policy-sensitive two-year yield was up
less than 1 bp at 2.023% after matching its highest since April
on Monday at 2.03%.
Attention was also on bond supply on Tuesday, with the
Netherlands selling 5 billion euros ($5.90 billion) of 30-year
bonds, the top end of the targeted sale amount.
The long-end auction precedes the overhaul of the Dutch
pension system next year. The change to a defined contribution
system, as opposed to defined benefit, would mean pension funds
will have less need to buy bonds, and longer-dated bonds in
particular, as they will no longer promise specific long-term
benefits.
JaapTeerhuis, strategist at ABN AMRO who used to lead the
dealing room for the Dutch Treasury, said it was difficult to
say what the auction results meant for the pension fund
transition but added the result suggested the market was happy
with current pricing on Dutch bonds.
Longer-dated bonds have been hit in recent months by
investor worries over the sustainability of high government debt
levels in countries including France, Britain, the U.S. and
Japan.
Germany's 30-year yield was down 1.5 bps at
3.346%.
($1 = 0.8481 euros)