* Apple shares tumble more than 7% after disappointing
forecast on component shortages
* US 10-year Treasury yield hits 4.747%, highest since
January 2025
* Traders price in 69% odds of Fed rate increase in
September
(Updated after New York stock market close)
By Karen Brettell
July 31 (Reuters) - U.S. stocks rose on Friday as strong
earnings from Amazon ( AMZN ) and Microsoft ( MSFT ) drew investors back into the
AI trade, while longer-dated Treasury yields hit new multi-year
highs on fears that rising oil prices could fuel inflation.
Currency markets also stayed on alert for further
intervention, a day after Japanese authorities stepped in to
support the yen, according to a market source.
Microsoft ( MSFT ) on Wednesday forecast strong cash
generation through fiscal 2027. Amazon ( AMZN ) followed a day
later with its strongest cloud growth in more than four years,
reassuring investors eager for proof that massive AI spending is
paying off.
"There were worries that Amazon's ( AMZN ) spending was just moonshot
spending, that it's irresponsible spending, and (CEO) Andy Jassy
just put those fears to bed," said Jake Dollarhide, CEO of
Longbow Asset Management in Tulsa, Oklahoma.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.53% to
52,485.74, the S&P 500 gained 0.70% to 7,489.81 and the
Nasdaq Composite ended up 1.00% at 25,373.85.
Gains were limited by a more than 7% drop in Apple shares after
a disappointing forecast showed that the iPhone maker was
struggling to secure enough components as the AI-driven
data-center boom strains global supply chains.
South Korea's battered KOSPI leapt 17.91%, mounting a
record comeback after heavy losses earlier this week. The
tech-heavy bourse, still about 30% off its all-time high, has
become emblematic of the sharp swings in investor sentiment
towards AI-related stocks.
MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe rose
1.22%, to 1,120.59.
The pan-European STOXX 600 index fell 0.12%, while
Europe's broad FTSEurofirst 300 index fell 0.09%.
HAWKISH FED SPEAK SENDS BOND YIELDS HIGHER
Longer-dated Treasury yields jumped after three Fed
policymakers who had dissented in favor of a rate hike at this
week's meeting made their case publicly on Friday for higher
rates.
The Fed kept rates unchanged - an expected outcome that aligned
with market pricing, which showed a roughly one-in-three chance
of a hike. Uncertainty over the decision was unusually high,
however, as traders adjust to Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's
preference for less forward guidance.
The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes rose
4.51 basis points to 4.708% and reached 4.747%, the highest
since January 2025.
The 30-year bond yield gained 4.39 basis points
to 5.2509%, the highest since mid-2007.
Traders are now pricing in 69% odds of a rate increase at
the Fed's September meeting.
Oil prices closed more than $1 per barrel higher, ending July
with their biggest monthly gains since March, as concerns over
global crude flows mounted on Iranian reports that some tankers
were forced to turn back in the Strait of Hormuz.
"The shock absorbers in oil markets are dwindling fast, so a
failure to de-escalate would be materially costlier than
previous rounds of tension," wrote Teddy Bunzel, head of Lazard
Geopolitical Advisory at Lazard Asset Management.
Shipments through the crucial Strait of Hormuz remain
disrupted. The alternative route through the Bab el-Mandeb
Strait has also come under attack from the Iran-backed Houthis,
further worsening the outlook.
BOJ HOLDS RATES DAY AFTER INTERVENTION
The yen strengthened 0.22% against the greenback to
159.16 per dollar, following sharp gains on Thursday after Japan
conducted yen-buying, dollar-selling intervention, according to
a market source.
The U.S. Treasury also told several banks it may intervene in
the yen market on Friday and that they should "stand ready for
future action," a source familiar with the matter told Reuters.
The BOJ kept interest rates unchanged on Friday, but signalled
its resolve to push up borrowing costs.
At a press conference, BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda said inflation
risks were skewed to the upside, and the central bank was
prepared to speed up the pace of rate hikes should monetary
conditions be accommodative.
Analysts note that intervention has had limited success in
providing durable support for the yen, and say the currency's
outlook is unlikely to improve unless the BOJ raises rates.
"The yen fundamentals and technicals are very poor.
Intervention is not a credible, long-term solution," said Lauren
van Biljon, senior portfolio manager, rates and FX, at Allspring
Global Investments.
The dollar index, which measures the U.S. currency
against a basket of peers including the yen and the euro, fell
0.12% to 99.95, with the euro up 0.02% at $1.1529.
Spot gold fell 1.26% to $4,050.69 an ounce.