(Updates throughout at 0855 GMT)
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Global shares steadied on
Tuesday, struggling to draw momentum from a rally on Wall Street
as concerns about faltering economic growth dampened investor
sentiment, which also dented the oil price.
Data from China showed exports grew at their fastest since
March 2023 in August, suggesting manufacturers were rushing out
orders ahead of tariffs expected from a number of trade
partners, while imports missed forecasts amid weak domestic
demand.
That followed Monday's inflation figures that pointed to
still-fragile domestic demand as producer price deflation
worsened, keeping alive calls for further stimulus from Beijing
to shore up its economy.
This took a chunk out of Asian shares, as well as
commodities such as copper and crude.
Across the broader equity market, MSCI's All-World index
was flat, reflecting modest gains in Europe,
where the STOXX 600 was up 0.2% and as U.S. stock
futures traded either side of unchanged.
Investors are anticipating a series of rapid interest rate
cuts from the Federal Reserve in the coming months, after last
week's U.S. jobs report painted a picture of a labour market
that was slowing.
"Markets are now on hard-landing alert essentially and we've
seen a return to 'good news is good news'," Investec chief
economist Philip Shaw said.
Stocks had traded at record highs just two weeks ago, as
expectations built for the Fed to deliver some fresh stimulus to
the economy by cutting borrowing costs.
But with the all-important labour market slowing, activity
across the manufacturing sector in contraction and inflation
subsiding, the mood has shifted.
Futures show traders are banking on U.S. rates dropping by a
full percentage point by the end of the year, with a near-30%
chance of a half-point cut coming as early as next week,
according to CME's Fedwatch tool.
Wall Street had staged an impressive rebound in the previous
session, after all three major U.S. stock indexes surged more
than 1%, recovering from last week's selloff.
Later on Tuesday, Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican
Donald Trump will debate for the first time ahead of the
Presidential election on Nov. 5, with the two locked in a tight
race.
THE CASE FOR CUTS
Investors now turn their attention to Wednesday's U.S.
inflation report, which could provide more clarity on whether
the Federal Reserve would deliver an outsized 50-basis-point cut
when it meets next week.
"(Inflation) numbers have been pretty critical over past few
months, but it is arguably less this time around. Markets have
it firmly established in their minds that price pressures are
easing back. What matters more are the projected trends in U.S.
economy and the extent to which activity holds up or slows
down," Investec's Shaw said.
Expectations are for headline inflation in the United States
to have slowed to an annual rate of 2.6% in August, compared
with July's 2.9%.
"If the inflation number is any different, or significantly
different from expectations, then the number of rate cuts
(priced in) will be changed," Jun Bei Liu, a portfolio manager
at Tribeca Investment Partners, said.
"At the moment, I think the market is reasonably aggressive
in pricing quite a lot this side of the year, and so that
probably opens up for a bit more... volatility that we have seen
in the last couple of weeks."
Oil, which has lost nearly 20% in the last two
months alone, driven by concern about global energy demand, was
down another 0.5% at $71.50 a barrel.
Copper futures were down 0.1% at $9,090 a tonne,
while iron ore futures fell 0.7% to $91.15 a tonne,
after data showed a drop in Chinese imports.
In currencies, the U.S. dollar strengthened 0.24% against
the yen to trade at 143.53. The euro was
flat at $1.1037, while sterling edge up 0.1% to
$1.3082, after data showed UK wage growth cooled in the three
months to July, keeping the case for another Bank of England
rate cut.
(Additional reporting by Rae Wee in Singapore; Editing by
Lincoln Feast, Sam Holmes and Alex Richardson)