By Patturaja Murugaboopathy
Oct 9 (Reuters) - Short-bias exchange-traded funds,
which bet against stock indexes and fast-rising sectors like
technology and artificial intelligence, are drawing strong
inflows as lofty prices and policy risks spur some investors to
position for a pullback.
According to LSEG Lipper data, global short-bias funds drew
$3.7 billion in September, the biggest monthly inflow in nearly
three years. U.S. funds accounted for $2.2 billion of that while
Japanese and South Korean funds took in $653 million and $424
million respectively. They have added another $1.4 billion so
far this month.
Flows into short-bias funds have often increased during
times of stress, delivering strong gains in the 2008 financial
crisis when broader funds struggled. While such inflows are not
always a precursor to downturns, rising allocations to funds
that profit from falling markets are seen as a sign of unease,
with valuation risks mounting.
This year, AI optimism has lifted megacap tech firms such as
Nvidia ( NVDA ), Microsoft ( MSFT ) and Oracle, pushing
the S&P 500, Nasdaq and Dow to fresh peaks. The S&P 500
and Nasdaq hit record highs on Thursday, up 15% and 19% this
year, while the Dow has gained 10%.
The forward 12-month price-to-earnings ratio of the MSCI
World index was at a near 5-year high of 20.4 at the end of
September.
However, the surge in equities has elicited a wave of
warnings about the risk of a looming correction.
The Bank of England has pointed to rising risks of a market
reversal, citing U.S. auto credit stress and political deadlocks
in France and Japan, while the Fed faces pressure that could
spark a sharp repricing of U.S. assets.
International Monetary Fund chief Kristalina Georgieva spoke
on Wednesday about the risks to the world economy from
potentially large corrections in lofty stock markets.
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon also warned of a heightened
risk of a significant correction in the U.S. stock market within
the next six months to two years, the BBC reported.
So far in October, the Direxion Daily Semiconductor Bear 3X
Shares has led with $255 million of inflows, followed by $200
million into the ProShares UltraPro Short QQQ and $143 million
into the ProShares Short S&P 500.