SINGAPORE, June 4 (Reuters) - Indian stocks were poised
to hit a record high while the rupee was steady as votes were
being counted in the world's largest election on Tuesday, with
Prime Minister Narendra Modi widely expected to score a decisive
mandate and a rare third term.
Exit polls have projected a big win for Modi, leading to
markets soaring to all-time highs on Monday as investors were
buoyed by expectations of sustained economic growth.
Modi's Bharatiya Janata Party-led alliance raced to early
leads, pulling ahead in more than 155 seats of the total 543 in
the lower house of parliament. Early trends on TV channels
showed the opposition INDIA alliance leading in more than 60
seats.
On Tuesday, NIFTY 50 index futures was at 23,495.50
points, according to NSE International Exchange data, and was
looking at scaling a record high for the second straight
session.
The Nifty index ended up 3.25% at 23,263.90 points
on Monday after touching a record high of 23,338.70 in the wake
of exit polls. The BSE index closed up 3.39% at
76,468.78 points on Monday, just off its lifetime peak of
76,738.89 hit earlier.
The benchmark indexes have grown by a little more than three
times in value since Modi became prime minister in May 2014.
Early trade in the non-deliverable forwards (NDF) market
pointed to a slightly firmer rupee on Tuesday. In
the spot NDF market the rupee traded at 83.1000 to the dollar,
against a close of 83.1425 in the spot foreign exchange
market on Monday. The rupee rose 0.4% on Monday.
"Markets have rallied around the expected election results
and it is very hard not to be an optimist on India," said Vivek
Bhutoria, portfolio manager for emerging market equities at
Federated Hermes.
"Policies are being put in place to attract investments and
the realignment of the global supply chain is going to benefit
India over time. We are already starting to see some benefits in
terms of electronics and chemical exports."
Foreigners, who poured a net $20.7 billion into Indian
equities last year but had pulled back ahead of the election,
are widely expected to turn buyers.
They bought shares worth a net 68.51 billion rupees ($824.4
million) on Monday, while domestic institutional investors
purchased 19.14 billion rupees in stocks, based on provisional
exchange data.
Investors expect the Modi government to continue focusing on
turning the country into a manufacturing hub - a project that
has courted foreign companies including Apple ( AAPL ) and Tesla
to set up production as they diversify beyond China.
"India is all about infrastructure," said Steve Lawrence,
chief investment officer at Balfour Capital, who manages 350
million euros across different funds.
"It's all about infrastructure investments; roads and
electricity. With the type of technology that they have, you
could see a tremendous amount of growth."