Oct 31 (Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian
markets.
Thursday is shaping up to be a huge day for markets in Asia as
investors brace for a deluge of major corporate and economic
newsflow, topped by the Bank of Japan's policy decision and
China's official purchasing managers index surveys for October.
Third-quarter GDP figures from Taiwan and Hong Kong, retail
sales from Japan and Australia, and the latest earnings reports
from regional giants such as Samsung, Panasonic and Sumitomo are
also on tap.
U.S. bond yields were little changed on Wednesday, holding
steady around levels not seen since early July, while the dollar
eased back from Tuesday's three-month high. At least that
represents no additional tightening of financial conditions.
But the 10-year yield snaps a run of five monthly declines,
going into the last trading day of October up nearly 50 basis
points in the month. The dollar is up over 3%, poised for its
biggest monthly rise in more than two years.
U.S. equities on Wednesday failed to give a clear steer either,
with Wall Street ending slightly lower, but investors in Asia
may get some impetus from third-quarter earnings from Microsoft ( MSFT )
and Facebook parent Meta Platforms ( META ) after the
close on Wednesday.
Both offered upbeat outlooks, but in after-hours trading
Microsoft ( MSFT ) shares were slightly higher and Meta shares were off
3%.
Shifting the focus back to Asia, attention on Thursday will
be firmly fixed on Tokyo, specifically BOJ Governor Kazuo Ueda's
press conference after the central bank's widely expected
decision to leave key interest rates on hold.
Investors will be paying close attention not only to Ueda's
view on the macroeconomic outlook, but also how he thinks the
political gridlock in the country following Sunday's
inconclusive general election might impact the central bank.
Japan's yen remains on the weak side going into the meeting
at around 153.00 per dollar, while the Nikkei 225 index is back
above 39000 points and up 3.5% so far in October. That would
mark its best month since February.
Investors also have China's 'official' PMIs for October to look
forward to. It will be too early for Beijing's blizzard of
fiscal, monetary and liquidity stimulus measures to have had a
direct impact, but any positive surprise will perhaps be seized
upon more than usual.
Economists polled by Reuters expect National Statistics
Bureau's manufacturing PMI to come in at 49.9, showing that
factory activity contracted in October for a sixth month, but by
the tiniest of margins and close to swinging back into growth.
Chinese stocks continue to trade heavily, their weakness on
Wednesday pulling broader Asian stocks down 0.8% to a one-month
low. The MSCI Asia/Pacific ex-Japan equity index is down 3.5% in
October, on track for its worst month since January.
Here are key developments that could provide more direction
to markets on Thursday:
- Japan interest rate decision
- China 'official' manufacturing, services PMIs
- Taiwan GDP (Q3)