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Pound heads for biggest two-day drop since July
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Public borrowing surges in headache for finance minister
Reeves
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UK bond yields up after Bank of England debt sales tweaks
By Amanda Cooper
LONDON, Sept 19 (Reuters) - The pound headed for its
biggest two-day drop since late July on Friday, after a surge in
UK public borrowing and a Bank of England rate decision that
highlighted the difficulties policymakers face in balancing
growth and inflation.
Official data on Friday showed public sector borrowing
between April and August totalled 83.8 billion pounds ($113.39
billion), 11.4 billion pounds more than forecast by the Office
for Budget Responsibility earlier this year.
The surge compounds the problem finance minister Rachel
Reeves faces with her November budget, in which she had already
been expected to announce new tax rises to stay on track to meet
her fiscal rules and avoid unsettling financial markets.
"The pound has sunk on this data, and is testing support at
$1.35, it is the second-worst performing currency in the G10 FX
space today," XTB research director Kathleen Brooks said.
Sterling fell as much as 0.4% in early trading
before paring some of that decline to trade down 0.3% at $1.351.
It has lost almost 0.9% in the last two days alone, the largest
such decline since July 31.
Meanwhile, the BoE left interest rates unchanged on
Thursday, as expected, and opted to reduce the pace of its
government bond sales to minimise the impact on the more
volatile longer-dated section of the market.
With inflation running at nearly double the central bank's
2% target, the BoE has only limited scope to lower rates much
more to help shore up the economy, where evidence is mounting of
weakness in the labour market.
UK bond yields rose on Friday, with long-dated 30-year gilts
up 4.3 basis points at 5.547%.
Data on Friday showed retail sales rose by more than
expected in August, thanks to sunny weather, although sales
growth in July was revised down.
A number of major retailers, including Primark owner
Associated British Foods ( ASBFF ) and budget supermarket Aldi UK
have signalled concern about the outlook for consumer spending
given upcoming tax rises and a deteriorating jobs market.
"This is yet another disappointing piece of economic news
which will add to Chancellor Rachel Reeves's woes. But as we saw
yesterday, the Bank of England dare not cut rates given that
inflation is nearly double the official target of 2%, and likely
to rise further," Trade Nation senior market analyst David
Morrison said.
The pound also fell sharply against the yen, which staged a
broad rally after the Bank of Japan left rates unchanged, but
two surprise dissenters voted for a hike. Japan's central bank
also decided to start selling its holdings of riskier assets,
which suggests it may phase out its monetary stimulus programme
sooner than expected. Sterling was down 0.45% at 199.73 yen
.